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Robust ARMA-model×ARMA-model (Autoregressiv glidende gennemsnit)×
FagområdeØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Oprindelsesår19861970
OphavspersonMartin & Yohai (1986); broader robust time series literatureGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
TypeRobust time series modelTime series model
Oprindelig kildeFranses, P. H., & Ghijsels, H. (1999). Additive outliers, GARCH and forecasting volatility. International Journal of Forecasting, 15(1), 1-9. link ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
Aliasserrobust ARMA, outlier-robust ARMA, M-estimator ARMA, resistant ARMA estimationARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)
Relaterede55
ResuméThe Robust ARMA model extends the classical Autoregressive Moving Average framework by replacing the sensitive least-squares loss with outlier-resistant estimation methods — typically M-estimators or median-based approaches. This protects coefficient estimates and forecasts from being distorted by additive outliers, level shifts, or innovational outliers that are common in economic and financial time series.The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Robust ARMA Model · ARMA model. Hentet 2026-06-15 fra https://scholargate.app/da/compare