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Granger-kausalitetstest×Strukturel Vektor Autoregression (SVAR)×
FagområdeØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Oprindelsesår19691980
OphavspersonClive W. J. GrangerSims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989)
TypeCausality test (F-test on VAR)Multivariate time series model
Oprindelig kildeGranger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438. DOI ↗Blanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673. link ↗
AliasserGranger test, GC test, predictive causality test, Granger non-causality testSVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR model
Relaterede55
ResuméThe Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test that determines whether past values of one time series help predict future values of another, beyond what that series' own past already explains. Introduced by Clive Granger in 1969, it is the standard approach for assessing predictive causality in VAR-based time-series analysis.Structural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Granger Causality Test · Structural VAR. Hentet 2026-06-18 fra https://scholargate.app/da/compare