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Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD)×Vektor Autoregression (VAR) Model×
FagområdeØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Oprindelsesår20052005
OphavspersonHelmut LütkepohlLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
TypeMultivariate time series analysis toolMultivariate time-series model
Oprindelig kildeLütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. ISBN: 978-3-540-40172-8Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
AliasserVariance Decomposition, Error Variance Decomposition, VD Analysis, Varyans Ayrıştırmasıvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Relaterede34
ResuméForecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) is a multivariate time series technique used within Vector Autoregression (VAR) frameworks to quantify what proportion of the forecast error variance of each variable is attributable to shocks from every other variable in the system. It is widely used by econometricians, macroeconomists, and financial researchers to assess the relative importance of different structural disturbances in driving short-run and long-run fluctuations across interconnected economic series.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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