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Kointegrationstest (Johansen / Engle-Granger)×ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) Model×Granger-kausalitetstest×
FagområdeØkonometriØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Oprindelsesår198820151969
OphavspersonEngle & Granger (1987); Johansen (1988)Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Clive W. J. Granger
TypeTime-series cointegration testUnivariate time-series modelTime-series predictive causality test
Oprindelig kildeJohansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗
AliasserJohansen cointegration test, Engle-Granger cointegration test, long-run equilibrium test, Eşbütünleşme Testi (Johansen/Engle-Granger)Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testi
Relaterede555
ResuméThe cointegration test examines whether non-stationary time series that each contain a unit root share a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. The single-equation residual approach was introduced by Engle and Granger (1987) and the system-based rank approach by Johansen (1988).ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Cointegration Test · ARIMA · Granger Causality. Hentet 2026-06-18 fra https://scholargate.app/da/compare