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Autoregressiv model (AR)×ARMA-model (Autoregressiv glidende gennemsnit)×
FagområdeØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Oprindelsesår1970s (popularised 1976)1970
OphavspersonGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. JenkinsGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
TypeTime series modelTime series model
Oprindelig kildeBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
AliasserAR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR processARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)
Relaterede65
ResuméAn autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Autoregressive model · ARMA model. Hentet 2026-06-15 fra https://scholargate.app/da/compare