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Autoregressiv model (AR)×ARIMA-modellen (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×
FagområdeØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Oprindelsesår1970s (popularised 1976)1970
OphavspersonGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. JenkinsGeorge Box and Gwilym Jenkins
TypeTime series modelTime series forecasting model
Oprindelig kildeBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
AliasserAR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR processARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)
Relaterede66
ResuméAn autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Autoregressive model · ARIMA model. Hentet 2026-06-17 fra https://scholargate.app/da/compare