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Robustní autoregresní model×Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×Autoregresní model (AR)×Robustní zobecněná metoda nejmenších čtverců (Robust GLS)×
OborEkonometrieEkonometrieEkonometrieEkonometrie
RodinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku198619701970s (popularised 1976)1936 / 1980
TvůrceMartin & Yohai (influential early work); broader robust time series literatureGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. JenkinsAitken (GLS theory, 1936); White (robust covariance, 1980)
TypRobust time series modelTime series forecasting modelTime series modelRobust linear regression
Původní zdrojMartin, R. D., & Yohai, V. J. (1986). Influence functionals for time series. Annals of Statistics, 14(3), 781–818. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043Greene, W. H. (2012). Econometric Analysis (7th ed.). Pearson. Chapter 9: The Generalized Regression Model and Heteroscedasticity. ISBN: 978-0131395381
Další názvyrobust autoregression, outlier-robust AR, M-estimator AR, heavy-tail ARARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)AR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR processrobust generalized least squares, GLS with robust standard errors, heteroscedasticity-consistent GLS, HC-GLS
Příbuzné6665
ShrnutíThe robust AR model fits an autoregressive time series specification using estimation methods — typically M-estimators or bounded-influence estimators — that resist distortion from outliers and heavy-tailed error distributions. Unlike OLS-based AR estimation, robust variants down-weight extreme observations so that a small number of contaminated data points cannot dominate the fitted dynamics.The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.Robust GLS extends classical Generalized Least Squares by pairing GLS coefficient estimation with heteroscedasticity- and autocorrelation-consistent (HAC) standard errors, or by using M-estimation within the GLS framework. It corrects for non-spherical errors — heteroscedasticity, autocorrelation, or both — while also guarding inference against misspecification of the error covariance structure.
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ScholarGatePorovnat metody: Robust AR model · ARIMA model · Autoregressive model · Robust GLS. Získáno 2026-06-18 z https://scholargate.app/cs/compare