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Nelineární model TGARCH×Model ARCH (Autoregresivní podmíněná heteroskedasticita)×Model TGARCH (Threshold GARCH)×
OborEkonometrieEkonometrieEkonometrie
RodinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku1993–199419821993-1994
TvůrceJean-Michel Zakoian; related work by Glosten, Jagannathan & RunkleRobert F. EngleZakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)
TypConditional heteroskedasticity modelConditional volatility modelAsymmetric volatility model
Původní zdrojZakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗
Další názvyNL-TGARCH, Nonlinear Threshold GARCH, Asymmetric TGARCH, GJR-GARCH variantARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelThreshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH
Příbuzné466
ShrnutíThe Nonlinear TGARCH (Threshold GARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative shocks of equal magnitude to exert different effects on future volatility. It models conditional volatility in terms of the absolute value of lagged residuals split by a sign threshold, capturing the well-documented leverage effect in financial return series.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.
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ScholarGatePorovnat metody: Nonlinear TGARCH model · ARCH model · TGARCH model. Získáno 2026-06-19 z https://scholargate.app/cs/compare