Porovnat metody
Prohlédněte si vybrané metody vedle sebe; řádky, které se liší, jsou zvýrazněny.
| Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR)× | Faktorově augmentovaná vektorová autoregrese (FAVAR)× | Regrese metodou ordinárních nejmenších čtverců (OLS)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Obor | Ekonometrie | Ekonometrie | Ekonometrie |
| Rodina | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Rok vzniku≠ | 1986 | 2005 | 2019 |
| Tvůrce≠ | Litterman (1986); Bańbura, Giannone & Reichlin (2010) | Bernanke, Boivin & Eliasz (2005); building on Stock & Watson diffusion indexes | Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares |
| Typ≠ | Bayesian multivariate time-series model | Multivariate time-series model | Linear regression |
| Původní zdroj≠ | Litterman, R. B. (1986). Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions—Five Years of Experience. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 4(1), 25-38. DOI ↗ | Bernanke, B. S., Boivin, J. & Eliasz, P. (2005). Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(1), 387-422. DOI ↗ | Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860 |
| Další názvy≠ | BVAR, Bayesian vector autoregression, Minnesota prior VAR, Bayesian VAR (BVAR) | factor-augmented VAR, FAVAR model, Faktör Artırımlı VAR (FAVAR) | ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu |
| Příbuzné≠ | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Shrnutí≠ | Bayesian VAR adds Minnesota or other prior distributions to a vector autoregressive model to control over-parameterisation. Introduced by Litterman (1986) and extended to high dimensions by Bańbura, Giannone and Reichlin (2010), it outperforms classical VAR on short series and high-dimensional macroeconomic forecasts. | FAVAR is a multivariate time-series model that first compresses information from a very large set of variables into a few common factors, then includes those factors alongside the observed variables in a vector autoregression. It was introduced by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz in 2005 to study monetary policy using hundreds of macroeconomic indicators at once. | Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE). |
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