Porovnat metody
Prohlédněte si vybrané metody vedle sebe; řádky, které se liší, jsou zvýrazněny.
| Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)× | Grangerův test kauzality× | |
|---|---|---|
| Obor | Ekonometrie | Ekonometrie |
| Rodina | Regression model | Regression model |
| Rok vzniku≠ | 1970 | 1969 |
| Tvůrce≠ | George Box and Gwilym Jenkins | Clive W. J. Granger |
| Typ≠ | Time series forecasting model | Causality test (F-test on VAR) |
| Původní zdroj≠ | Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗ | Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438. DOI ↗ |
| Další názvy | ARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q) | Granger test, GC test, predictive causality test, Granger non-causality test |
| Příbuzné≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Shrnutí≠ | The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics. | The Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test that determines whether past values of one time series help predict future values of another, beyond what that series' own past already explains. Introduced by Clive Granger in 1969, it is the standard approach for assessing predictive causality in VAR-based time-series analysis. |
| ScholarGateDatová sada ↗ |
|
|