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Model autoregressiu robust×Model Autoregressiu (AR)×
CampEconometriaEconometria
FamíliaRegression modelRegression model
Any d'origen19861970s (popularised 1976)
Autor originalMartin & Yohai (influential early work); broader robust time series literatureGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
TipusRobust time series modelTime series model
Font seminalMartin, R. D., & Yohai, V. J. (1986). Influence functionals for time series. Annals of Statistics, 14(3), 781–818. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043
Àliesrobust autoregression, outlier-robust AR, M-estimator AR, heavy-tail ARAR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR process
Relacionats66
ResumThe robust AR model fits an autoregressive time series specification using estimation methods — typically M-estimators or bounded-influence estimators — that resist distortion from outliers and heavy-tailed error distributions. Unlike OLS-based AR estimation, robust variants down-weight extreme observations so that a small number of contaminated data points cannot dominate the fitted dynamics.An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.
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