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| Hamiltonian Monte Carlo× | Regressió Bayesiana× | Cadenes de Markov Monte Carlo (MCMC)× | Inferència variacional× | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camp | Bayesià | Bayesià | Bayesià | Bayesià |
| Família | Bayesian methods | Bayesian methods | Bayesian methods | Bayesian methods |
| Any d'origen≠ | 1987 | — | — | 1999 |
| Autor original≠ | — | — | — | Jordan, Ghahramani, Jaakkola & Saul |
| Tipus≠ | Gradient-based Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler | Bayesian linear model | Posterior sampling algorithm | Approximate Bayesian inference |
| Font seminal≠ | Duane, S., Kennedy, A. D., Pendleton, B. J., & Roweth, D. (1987). Hybrid Monte Carlo. Physics Letters B, 195(2), 216–222. DOI ↗ | Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955 | Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A. & Rubin, D. B. (2013). Bayesian Data Analysis (3rd ed.). CRC Press. ISBN: 978-1439840955 | Jordan, M. I., Ghahramani, Z., Jaakkola, T. S., & Saul, L. K. (1999). An introduction to variational methods for graphical models. Machine Learning, 37(2), 183–233. DOI ↗ |
| Àlies≠ | HMC, Hybrid Monte Carlo, NUTS, No-U-Turn Sampler | bayesian linear regression, probabilistic regression, bayesian regresyon | markov chain monte carlo, MCMC sampling, MCMC (Markov Zinciri Monte Carlo) | VI, variational Bayes, VB, mean-field variational inference |
| Relacionats≠ | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Resum≠ | Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a gradient-based Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that uses the geometry of the log-posterior surface to make large, informed jumps through parameter space instead of the small random steps of classical MCMC. Originally introduced for lattice field theory by Duane, Kennedy, Pendleton, and Roweth (1987) under the name Hybrid Monte Carlo, and brought into mainstream statistics by Radford Neal's authoritative 2011 chapter, HMC is today the default sampler in Stan and PyMC and is widely regarded as the state-of-the-art engine for Bayesian posterior inference in high-dimensional models. | Bayesian regression is a probabilistic version of linear regression that treats the model parameters as uncertain quantities. Instead of returning a single best-fit estimate, it combines prior knowledge with the observed data to produce a full posterior probability distribution for each parameter, from which credible intervals and predictions are read off. | Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a family of computational algorithms for sampling from complex probability distributions, most commonly the posterior distributions that arise in Bayesian inference. Rather than computing posteriors analytically — which is rarely possible for realistic models — MCMC constructs a Markov chain whose stationary distribution is the target posterior and draws dependent samples from it, enabling full probabilistic inference for virtually any model. | Variational inference (VI) is a family of techniques that turn Bayesian posterior computation into an optimisation problem. Instead of drawing samples from the exact posterior — as Markov chain Monte Carlo does — VI posits a simpler, tractable family of distributions and finds the member of that family closest to the true posterior by maximising the evidence lower bound (ELBO). Introduced in its modern graphical-model form by Jordan, Ghahramani, Jaakkola and Saul (1999) and given a comprehensive statistical treatment by Blei, Kucukelbir and McAuliffe (2017), VI is now the standard scalable inference engine in probabilistic machine learning. |
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