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Bayesian NARDL: Autoregressió Distribuïda No Lineal amb Estimació Bayesiana×Model vectorial d'error de correcció bayesià (Bayesian VECM)×
CampEconometriaEconometria
FamíliaRegression modelRegression model
Any d'origen2014 (NARDL); Bayesian extension c. 2015–20202002–2005
Autor originalShin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo (NARDL base); Bayesian extension developed in subsequent applied literatureKleibergen & Paap; Villani
TipusNonlinear cointegrating model with Bayesian inferenceBayesian multivariate time series model
Font seminalShin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In W. C. Horrace & R. C. Sickles (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link ↗Kleibergen, F., & Paap, R. (2002). Priors, posteriors and Bayes factors for a Bayesian analysis of cointegration. Journal of Econometrics, 111(2), 223–249. DOI ↗
ÀliesBayesian NARDL, Bayesian nonlinear ARDL, Bayesian asymmetric ARDL, B-NARDLBayesian VECM, B-VECM, Bayesian cointegrated VAR, Bayesian vector error correction
Relacionats65
ResumBayesian NARDL combines the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag framework of Shin, Yu, and Greenwood-Nimmo (2014) with Bayesian posterior inference. It models asymmetric long-run cointegration — allowing positive and negative shocks to a regressor to have different equilibrium effects — while incorporating prior knowledge and producing full posterior distributions over all parameters, including the asymmetry gap.The Bayesian VECM combines the classical Vector Error Correction Model — which captures both short-run dynamics and long-run cointegrating relationships among non-stationary multivariate time series — with Bayesian prior distributions over the cointegrating rank and coefficient matrices. This allows principled uncertainty quantification, incorporation of economic theory as priors, and coherent inference even in small samples.
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ScholarGateCompara mètodes: Bayesian NARDL · Bayesian VECM. Recuperat el 2026-06-15 de https://scholargate.app/ca/compare