পদ্ধতির তুলনা করুন

	মডেল কনফিডেন্স সেট (MCS)	Diebold-Mariano Test
ক্ষেত্র	অর্থমিতি	অর্থমিতি
পরিবার	Hypothesis test	Hypothesis test
উদ্ভবের বছর	2011	1995
প্রবর্তক	Hansen, Lunde & Nason	Francis Diebold & Roberto Mariano
ধরন	Sequential hypothesis testing procedure for model comparison	Non-parametric forecast comparison test
মৌলিক উৎস	Hansen, P. R., Lunde, A., & Nason, J. M. (2011). The model confidence set. Econometrica, 79(2), 453–497.	Diebold, F. X., & Mariano, R. S. (1995). Comparing predictive accuracy. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 13(3), 253–263.
অপর নাম	MCS Procedure, Superior Set of Models, Model Selection Confidence Set, Model Güven Kümesi	DM Test, Test of Equal Forecast Accuracy, Diebold-Mariano Forecast Comparison Test, Tahmin Doğruluğu Eşitliği Testi
সম্পর্কিত	3	3
সারসংক্ষেপ	The Model Confidence Set (MCS) is a sequential hypothesis-testing procedure introduced by Hansen, Lunde, and Nason (2011) that identifies the smallest collection of forecasting or predictive models statistically indistinguishable from the best-performing model at a given confidence level. Instead of selecting a single winner, MCS returns a set of superior models, making it especially valuable in econometric forecast comparisons where the true best model is unknown.	The Diebold-Mariano (DM) test, introduced by Diebold and Mariano in 1995, is a widely used non-parametric procedure for formally comparing the predictive accuracy of two competing forecasting models. It evaluates whether the difference in forecast errors between two models is statistically significant, without requiring nested models or specific distributional assumptions about the forecasts, making it broadly applicable across economics, finance, and time-series analysis.