পদ্ধতির তুলনা করুন

	GARCH মডেল (ভলাটিলিটি পূর্বাভাস)	ভেক্টর অটো রিগ্রেশন (VAR) মডেল
ক্ষেত্র	অর্থমিতি	অর্থমিতি
পরিবার	Regression model	Regression model
উদ্ভবের বছর	1986	2005
প্রবর্তক	Tim Bollerslev	Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
ধরন	Conditional volatility model	Multivariate time-series model
মৌলিক উৎস	Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327.	Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer.
অপর নাম	GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)	vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
সম্পর্কিত	5	4
সারসংক্ষেপ	The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.	Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).