পদ্ধতির তুলনা করুন

	বেয়েশীয় টিজিএআরসিএইচ (সীমাযুক্ত জিএআরসিএইচ সহ বেয়েশীয় প্রাক্কলন)	থ্রেশহোল্ড GARCH (TGARCH) মডেল
ক্ষেত্র	অর্থমিতি	অর্থমিতি
পরিবার	Regression model	Regression model
উদ্ভবের বছর	1994 / 2008	1993-1994
প্রবর্তক	Zakoian (1994) for TGARCH; Bayesian estimation formalized by Ardia (2008)	Zakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)
ধরন	Volatility model with asymmetric threshold and Bayesian inference	Asymmetric volatility model
মৌলিক উৎস	Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955.	Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955.
অপর নাম	Bayesian TGARCH, Bayesian GJR-GARCH, Threshold GARCH with Bayesian estimation, TGARCH-B	Threshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH
সম্পর্কিত	6	6
সারসংক্ষেপ	Bayesian TGARCH combines the Threshold GARCH volatility model — which captures the asymmetric response of volatility to positive versus negative shocks — with full Bayesian inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. The result is a principled, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling leverage effects and fat-tailed financial returns.	The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.