পদ্ধতির তুলনা করুন

	বেয়েশীয় এআরসিএইচ মডেল (Bayesian ARCH Model)	বেয়েশীয় টিজিএআরসিএইচ (সীমাযুক্ত জিএআরসিএইচ সহ বেয়েশীয় প্রাক্কলন)
ক্ষেত্র	অর্থমিতি	অর্থমিতি
পরিবার	Regression model	Regression model
উদ্ভবের বছর	1982 (ARCH); 1989 (Bayesian estimation)	1994 / 2008
প্রবর্তক	Robert F. Engle (ARCH, 1982); Bayesian treatment: John Geweke (1989)	Zakoian (1994) for TGARCH; Bayesian estimation formalized by Ardia (2008)
ধরন	Volatility model with Bayesian inference	Volatility model with asymmetric threshold and Bayesian inference
মৌলিক উৎস	Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007.	Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955.
অপর নাম	Bayesian ARCH, ARCH with Bayesian estimation, Bayesian conditional heteroskedasticity model, B-ARCH	Bayesian TGARCH, Bayesian GJR-GARCH, Threshold GARCH with Bayesian estimation, TGARCH-B
সম্পর্কিত	6	6
সারসংক্ষেপ	The Bayesian ARCH model estimates Engle's Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity specification within a Bayesian framework. Instead of maximising a likelihood, it combines a prior distribution over the volatility parameters with the data likelihood to obtain a full posterior distribution, providing richer uncertainty quantification than classical maximum-likelihood ARCH.	Bayesian TGARCH combines the Threshold GARCH volatility model — which captures the asymmetric response of volatility to positive versus negative shocks — with full Bayesian inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling. The result is a principled, uncertainty-aware framework for modeling leverage effects and fat-tailed financial returns.