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Тест за коинтеграция на Структурна Промяна на Енгъл-Грейнджър×ARDL Bounds Test×Тест за коинтеграция на Йохансен и модел на векторна корекция на грешката×
ОбластИконометрияИконометрияФинанси
СемействоRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Година на възникване199620011991
СъздателGregory & Hansen (1996), extending Engle & Granger (1987)Pesaran, Shin & SmithSøren Johansen
ТипCointegration test with structural breakCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelMultivariate cointegration / vector error correction model
Основополагащ източникGregory, A. W., & Hansen, B. E. (1996). Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts. Journal of Econometrics, 70(1), 99-126. link ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗
Други названияGregory-Hansen cointegration test, cointegration with structural break, EG cointegration with regime shift, residual-based cointegration with breakPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)Johansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegration
Свързани243
РезюмеThe structural break Engle-Granger cointegration test, most commonly implemented via the Gregory-Hansen (1996) procedure, extends the classical Engle-Granger two-step test to allow for a single unknown structural break in the long-run cointegrating relationship. It tests whether two or more integrated series share a common stochastic trend even when that relationship may have shifted at some point in the sample.The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.
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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: Structural break Engle-Granger cointegration · ARDL Bounds Test · Johansen Cointegration Test. Извлечено на 2026-06-19 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare