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Нелинеен модел на пълзяща средна (NMA)×АРСС модел (авторегресионна плъзгаща се средна)×
ОбластИконометрияИконометрия
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Година на възникване19781970
СъздателGranger & Andersen (bilinear/NMA framework); Tong (nonlinear time series theory)George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
ТипNonlinear time series modelTime series model
Основополагащ източникGranger, C. W. J., & Andersen, A. P. (1978). An Introduction to Bilinear Time Series Models. Vandenhoeck and Ruprecht, Gottingen. link ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
Други названияNMA model, nonlinear moving average, NLMA model, nonlinear MAARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)
Свързани45
РезюмеThe Nonlinear Moving Average (NMA) model extends the classical linear MA model by allowing the current observation to depend on past innovations through a nonlinear function rather than a simple weighted sum. It is used in time series analysis when error shocks transmit to outcomes in an asymmetric or state-dependent fashion.The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.
ScholarGateНабор от данни
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  2. 2 Източници
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Източници
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: Nonlinear MA model · ARMA model. Извлечено на 2026-06-17 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare