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نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المتجهي (VAR)×نموذج ARIMA (الانحدار الذاتي المتكامل للمتوسط المتحرك)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة20052015
صاحب الطريقةLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric traditionBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
النوعMultivariate time-series modelUnivariate time-series model
المصدر التأسيسيLütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
الأسماء البديلةvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyonBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
ذات صلة45
الملخصVector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: VAR Model · ARIMA. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-17 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare