قارن الطرق
راجع الطرق التي اخترتها جنبًا إلى جنب؛ الصفوف المختلفة مميَّزة.
| نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المتجهي (VAR)× | نموذج ARIMA (الانحدار الذاتي المتكامل للمتوسط المتحرك)× | |
|---|---|---|
| المجال | الاقتصاد القياسي | الاقتصاد القياسي |
| العائلة | Regression model | Regression model |
| سنة النشأة≠ | 2005 | 2015 |
| صاحب الطريقة≠ | Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition | Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology) |
| النوع≠ | Multivariate time-series model | Univariate time-series model |
| المصدر التأسيسي≠ | Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗ | Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021 |
| الأسماء البديلة≠ | vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon | Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli |
| ذات صلة≠ | 4 | 5 |
| الملخص≠ | Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005). | ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015). |
| ScholarGateمجموعة البيانات ↗ |
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