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تقدير المعلمات المتغيرة عبر الزمن (TVP-GLS)×نموذج فضاء الحالة (مرشح كالمان)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة19761990
صاحب الطريقةCooley & PrescottHarvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
النوعTime-series regression with drifting coefficientsState space time series model
المصدر التأسيسيCooley, T. F., & Prescott, E. C. (1976). Estimation in the presence of stochastic parameter variation. Econometrica, 44(1), 167–184. DOI ↗Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةTVP-GLS, time-varying coefficient GLS, adaptive GLS, state-space GLSstate space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
ذات صلة24
الملخصTime-varying parameter GLS extends generalized least squares to settings where regression coefficients are not fixed constants but evolve over time according to a stochastic process. By embedding the model in a state-space framework and applying GLS corrections for non-spherical errors, it captures structural change, regime shifts, and gradually drifting relationships in time-series data.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Time-varying parameter GLS · State Space Model. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-17 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare