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نموذج تصحيح الخطأ المتجه مع الانقطاعات الهيكلية (SB-VECM)×نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المتجه (VAR) مع الانقطاعات الهيكلية×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة1996–20001980–1998
صاحب الطريقةGregory & Hansen (1996); Johansen, Mosconi & Nielsen (2000)Bai & Perron (structural breaks); Sims (VAR framework)
النوعMultivariate error correction model with structural breaksMultivariate time series model with regime change
المصدر التأسيسيGregory, A. W., & Hansen, B. E. (1996). Residual-based tests for cointegration in models with regime shifts. Journal of Econometrics, 70(1), 99–126. DOI ↗Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةSB-VECM, VECM with regime shifts, cointegration model with structural breaks, break-augmented VECMVAR with structural breaks, break-point VAR, regime-switching VAR, SB-VAR
ذات صلة56
الملخصThe Structural Break VECM extends the standard Vector Error Correction Model to allow the cointegrating relationships, adjustment speeds, or short-run dynamics to shift at one or more known or estimated break dates. It preserves the long-run equilibrium framework of the VECM while explicitly modelling regime changes caused by policy shifts, crises, or institutional changes.The Structural Break VAR model extends the standard Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework by allowing coefficient matrices and error covariance to shift at one or more unknown break dates. It is designed for multivariate time series where economic relationships change abruptly due to policy shifts, financial crises, or major structural events.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Structural break VECM · Structural Break VAR Model. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-17 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare