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نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المتجه (VAR) مع الانقطاعات الهيكلية×نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المتجهي (VAR)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة1980–19981980
صاحب الطريقةBai & Perron (structural breaks); Sims (VAR framework)Christopher A. Sims
النوعMultivariate time series model with regime changeMultivariate time-series model
المصدر التأسيسيBai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةVAR with structural breaks, break-point VAR, regime-switching VAR, SB-VARVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
ذات صلة65
الملخصThe Structural Break VAR model extends the standard Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework by allowing coefficient matrices and error covariance to shift at one or more unknown break dates. It is designed for multivariate time series where economic relationships change abruptly due to policy shifts, financial crises, or major structural events.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Structural Break VAR Model · Vector Autoregression. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-15 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare