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اختبار جذر الوحدة فيليبس-بيرون (PP)×نموذج ARIMA (الانحدار الذاتي المتكامل للمتوسط المتحرك)×اختبار KPSS للاستقرارية×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة198820151992
صاحب الطريقةPeter C. B. Phillips & Pierre PerronBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Kwiatkowski, Phillips, Schmidt & Shin
النوعUnit-root test for stationarityUnivariate time-series modelStationarity test (reverse of unit-root tests)
المصدر التأسيسيPhillips, P. C. B., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335–346. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P. C. B., Schmidt, P., & Shin, Y. (1992). Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root. Journal of Econometrics, 54(1–3), 159–178. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةPP test, Phillips-Perron unit root test, Phillips-Perron birim kök testiBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliKwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin test, stationarity test, KPSS durağanlık testi
ذات صلة454
الملخصThe Phillips-Perron test, proposed by Peter Phillips and Pierre Perron in 1988, tests for a unit root in a time series, like the Augmented Dickey-Fuller test, but corrects for autocorrelation and heteroskedasticity in the errors non-parametrically rather than by adding lagged differences. It runs a simple Dickey-Fuller regression and then adjusts the test statistic using a long-run variance estimate, so the practitioner need not choose a lag length for the regression itself.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).The KPSS test, introduced by Kwiatkowski, Phillips, Schmidt and Shin in 1992, tests the null hypothesis that a series is stationary against the alternative that it contains a unit root — the reverse of the ADF and Phillips-Perron tests. By flipping the burden of proof, it is designed to be used alongside unit-root tests so that the two can confirm one another and expose ambiguous, borderline cases.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Phillips-Perron Test · ARIMA · KPSS Test. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-19 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare