قارن الطرق

	نموذج GARCH غير الخطي	نموذج ARCH (الانحراف المعياري الشرطي الذاتي الانحدار)
المجال	الاقتصاد القياسي	الاقتصاد القياسي
العائلة	Regression model	Regression model
سنة النشأة	1991-1993	1982
صاحب الطريقة	Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle; Nelson (1991) for EGARCH	Robert F. Engle
النوع	Volatility model	Conditional volatility model
المصدر التأسيسي	Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R., & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801.	Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007.
الأسماء البديلة	NL-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH, GJR-GARCH, nonlinear volatility model	ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
ذات صلة	6	6
الملخص	The Nonlinear GARCH model extends the standard GARCH framework to capture asymmetric and nonlinear responses of conditional volatility to past shocks. It allows negative returns (bad news) to amplify volatility more than positive returns of equal magnitude, a phenomenon known as the leverage effect, which is empirically pervasive in financial markets.	The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.