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نموذج GJR-GARCH (GARCH غير المتماثل)×نموذج GARCH (التنبؤ بالتقلب)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة19931986
صاحب الطريقةGlosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993); Zakoian (1994)Tim Bollerslev
النوعAsymmetric conditional volatility modelConditional volatility model
المصدر التأسيسيGlosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the Relation Between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةasymmetric GARCH, leverage GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH — Asimetrik GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle)GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
ذات صلة55
الملخصGJR-GARCH is a variant of the GARCH conditional-volatility model that captures the asymmetric effect of negative shocks on volatility using an indicator variable. It was introduced by Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1993), with a closely related threshold formulation by Zakoian (1994).The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: GJR-GARCH · GARCH Model. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-18 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare