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نموذج فورير-جارج (Fourier GARCH Model)×نموذج ARCH (الانحراف المعياري الشرطي الذاتي الانحدار)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة2000–20121982
صاحب الطريقةLudlow & Enders (2000); extended by Enders & Lee (2012) Fourier frameworkRobert F. Engle
النوعVolatility modelConditional volatility model
المصدر التأسيسيLudlow, J., & Enders, W. (2000). Estimating non-linear ARMA models using Fourier coefficients. International Journal of Forecasting, 16(3), 333–347. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةFourier GARCH, Fourier-flexible GARCH, GARCH with Fourier terms, smooth-break GARCHARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
ذات صلة56
الملخصThe Fourier GARCH model embeds trigonometric Fourier terms into a standard GARCH framework to capture smooth, gradual shifts in the conditional variance process without requiring knowledge of exact structural break dates. By approximating unknown break patterns with sinusoidal functions, it jointly models volatility clustering and time-varying unconditional variance.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.
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  1. v1
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  1. v1
  2. 2 المصادر
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Fourier GARCH Model · ARCH model. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-18 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare