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| نموذج فورييه ARCH (Fourier ARCH Model)× | نموذج ARCH ذو الانقطاع الهيكلي× | |
|---|---|---|
| المجال | الاقتصاد القياسي | الاقتصاد القياسي |
| العائلة | Regression model | Regression model |
| سنة النشأة≠ | 2010s | 1982–1990 |
| صاحب الطريقة≠ | Extends Engle (1982) ARCH framework with Fourier terms following Enders & Lee (2012) | Engle (1982) for ARCH; Lamoureux & Lastrapes (1990) for break-adjusted variance persistence |
| النوع≠ | Volatility model with smooth structural change | Volatility model with regime change |
| المصدر التأسيسي | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗ |
| الأسماء البديلة | Fourier-ARCH, F-ARCH, ARCH with Fourier terms, Fourier smooth transition ARCH | ARCH with structural breaks, break-adjusted ARCH, regime-switching ARCH, SB-ARCH |
| ذات صلة≠ | 6 | 5 |
| الملخص≠ | The Fourier ARCH model extends the classical ARCH framework by incorporating trigonometric (Fourier) terms into the conditional variance equation. This allows the model to capture smooth, gradual shifts in volatility dynamics over time without assuming abrupt structural breaks, making it well-suited for long financial or macroeconomic time series subject to slowly evolving regime changes. | The Structural Break ARCH model extends Engle's (1982) Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by explicitly accounting for abrupt, permanent shifts in the conditional variance process. Ignoring structural breaks in variance causes ARCH parameters to appear spuriously persistent, so incorporating break dummies or regime-specific parameters yields more accurate volatility estimates and better model fit. |
| ScholarGateمجموعة البيانات ↗ |
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