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نموذج الارتباط الشرطي الديناميكي (DCC-GARCH)×نظرية القيم القصوى (EVT)×
المجالالتمويلالتمويل
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة20022001
صاحب الطريقةRobert F. EngleColes (textbook treatment); McNeil, Frey & Embrechts
النوعMultivariate volatility modelTail / extreme-event model
المصدر التأسيسيEngle, R. (2002). Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate GARCH Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Coles, S. (2001). An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values. Springer. ISBN: 978-1852334598
الأسماء البديلةdynamic conditional correlation, Engle DCC, multivariate GARCH, DCC-GARCH — Dinamik Koşullu KorelasyonEVT, generalized extreme value, generalized Pareto distribution, peaks over threshold
ذات صلة55
الملخصDCC-GARCH is Engle's (2002) multivariate volatility model that lets the correlations between several assets change over time. A separate univariate GARCH model is fitted to each series, and then the dynamic correlation matrix is estimated in a second, separate step.Extreme Value Theory is a statistical framework for modelling the rare events that live in the tail of a probability distribution. As developed in Coles (2001) and applied to risk by McNeil, Frey & Embrechts (2005), it offers two standard routes: the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution for block maxima and the Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD), used in the peaks-over-threshold approach, for exceedances above a high threshold.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: DCC-GARCH · Extreme Value Theory. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-18 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare