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نموذج الارتباط الشرطي الديناميكي (DCC-GARCH)×نموذج ARIMA (الانحدار الذاتي المتكامل للمتوسط المتحرك)×
المجالالتمويلالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة20022015
صاحب الطريقةRobert F. EngleBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
النوعMultivariate volatility modelUnivariate time-series model
المصدر التأسيسيEngle, R. (2002). Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate GARCH Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
الأسماء البديلةdynamic conditional correlation, Engle DCC, multivariate GARCH, DCC-GARCH — Dinamik Koşullu KorelasyonBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
ذات صلة55
الملخصDCC-GARCH is Engle's (2002) multivariate volatility model that lets the correlations between several assets change over time. A separate univariate GARCH model is fitted to each series, and then the dynamic correlation matrix is estimated in a second, separate step.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: DCC-GARCH · ARIMA. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-17 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare