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اختبار CUSUM: الكشف عن عدم استقرار المعلمات في نماذج الانحدار×اختبار باي-بيرون لتعدد نقاط التغير الهيكلي×اختبار كوانت-أندروز للكسور الهيكلية غير المعروفة×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةHypothesis testHypothesis testHypothesis test
سنة النشأة197519981993
صاحب الطريقةBrown, Durbin & EvansJushan Bai & Pierre PerronDonald Andrews
النوعRecursive residual testSequential hypothesis test for multiple structural breaksSupremum test for structural change
المصدر التأسيسيBrown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 37(2), 149–192. DOI ↗Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Andrews, D. W. K. (1993). Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point. Econometrica, 61(4), 821–856. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةCumulative Sum Test, CUSUMSQ Test, Brown-Durbin-Evans Test, Kümülatif Toplam TestiBai-Perron Multiple Break Test, Multiple Structural Change Test, Sequential Structural Break Test, Çoklu Yapısal Kırılma Testisup-Wald Test, Andrews Breakpoint Test, Unknown Structural Break Test, Quandt Likelihood Ratio Test
ذات صلة323
الملخصThe CUSUM (Cumulative Sum) and CUSUMSQ (Cumulative Sum of Squares) tests, introduced by Brown, Durbin, and Evans (1975), assess whether the coefficients of a linear regression model remain constant over time. They are standard tools in econometrics for detecting structural breaks, policy shifts, or regime changes in time-series data without requiring prior knowledge of when a break occurs.The Bai-Perron test, introduced by Jushan Bai and Pierre Perron in their landmark 1998 Econometrica paper, is a least-squares-based procedure for detecting, estimating, and testing the number of structural breaks in a linear regression model estimated on time-series data. Unlike single-break tests, it simultaneously identifies multiple change-points in a sample, providing economists and empirical researchers with a rigorous, data-driven way to locate parameter instability across time.The Quandt-Andrews test, formalized by Andrews (1993), detects structural breaks in regression parameters when the breakpoint date is unknown a priori. It sweeps all candidate break dates within a trimmed interior of the sample, computes a Wald (or LM/LR) statistic at each candidate, and reports the supremum of those statistics. Applied economists and time-series analysts use it to test whether coefficients remain stable across a full estimation window without needing to specify when the break occurred.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: CUSUM Test · Bai-Perron Test · Quandt-Andrews Test. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-19 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare