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نماذج مخاطر الائتمان (ميرتون، KMV، CreditMetrics)×دراسة الحدث (العائد غير الطبيعي التراكمي والعائد غير الطبيعي للشراء والاحتفاظ)×
المجالالتمويلالتمويل
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة19741997
صاحب الطريقةRobert C. Merton (structural model); J.P. Morgan / Gupton et al. (CreditMetrics)MacKinlay (review); Kothari & Warner (econometrics)
النوعStructural and portfolio credit risk modelAbnormal-return model for financial events
المصدر التأسيسيMerton, R. C. (1974). On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates. The Journal of Finance, 29(2), 449-470. DOI ↗MacKinlay, A. C. (1997). Event Studies in Economics and Finance. Journal of Economic Literature, 35(1), 13–39. link ↗
الأسماء البديلةMerton model, KMV model, CreditMetrics, structural credit risk modelevent study, cumulative abnormal return analysis, abnormal return analysis, CAR
ذات صلة54
الملخصCredit risk models estimate the probability that a borrower defaults and the resulting distribution of credit losses. The structural approach was introduced by Robert C. Merton in 1974, treating a firm's equity as a call option on its assets, and was later extended into the KMV distance-to-default framework and the CreditMetrics rating-transition portfolio model published by J.P. Morgan in 1997.The event study is a financial research method that measures the impact of a news release, policy change, or corporate event on asset prices through cumulative abnormal returns. Reviewed by MacKinlay (1997) and formalised econometrically by Kothari and Warner (2007), it is the standard tool for testing the efficient-market hypothesis and analysing the information content of events.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Credit Risk Models · Event Study. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-19 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare