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نموذج ARIMA (الانحدار الذاتي المتكامل للمتوسط المتحرك)×نموذج الارتباط الشرطي الديناميكي (DCC-GARCH)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالتمويل
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة20152002
صاحب الطريقةBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Robert F. Engle
النوعUnivariate time-series modelMultivariate volatility model
المصدر التأسيسيBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Engle, R. (2002). Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate GARCH Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modelidynamic conditional correlation, Engle DCC, multivariate GARCH, DCC-GARCH — Dinamik Koşullu Korelasyon
ذات صلة55
الملخصARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).DCC-GARCH is Engle's (2002) multivariate volatility model that lets the correlations between several assets change over time. A separate univariate GARCH model is fitted to each series, and then the dynamic correlation matrix is estimated in a second, separate step.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: ARIMA · DCC-GARCH. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-19 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare