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اختبار حدود ARDL (اختبار حدود بيسران)×اختبار جوهانسون للتكامل المشترك ونموذج تصحيح الخطأ المتجهي×نموذج الانحدار الذاتي غير الخطي (NARDL)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالتمويلالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة200119912014
صاحب الطريقةPesaran, Shin & SmithSøren JohansenShin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo
النوعCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelMultivariate cointegration / vector error correction modelNonlinear cointegration model
المصدر التأسيسيPesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link ↗
الأسماء البديلةPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)Johansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegrationNARDL, nonlinear bounds test, asymmetric ARDL, asymmetric cointegration model
ذات صلة435
الملخصThe ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.The Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing the regressor into cumulative positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a variable exert different effects on the outcome — a feature especially relevant in financial and energy economics where positive and negative shocks rarely cancel out symmetrically.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: ARDL Bounds Test · Johansen Cointegration Test · Nonlinear ARDL. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-19 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare