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مقياس ألتمن Z: التنبؤ بإفلاس الشركات×الانحدار اللوجستي×XGBoost×
المجالالتمويلإحصاء البحثتعلم الآلة
العائلةRegression modelProcess / pipelineMachine learning
سنة النشأة196819582016
صاحب الطريقةEdward AltmanDavid Roxbee CoxChen, T. & Guestrin, C.
النوعMultiple discriminant analysis scoring modelMethodEnsemble (gradient-boosted decision trees)
المصدر التأسيسيAltman, E. I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589–609. DOI ↗Cox, D. R. (1958). The regression analysis of binary sequences. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 20(2), 215–242. DOI ↗Chen, T. & Guestrin, C. (2016). XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System. Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD, 785–794. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةAltman's Z-Score Model, Multiple Discriminant Analysis Bankruptcy Model, Z-Score Financial Distress Model, Altman Z-Skorulogit model, binomial logistic regression, LRXGBoost, extreme gradient boosting, scalable tree boosting
ذات صلة335
الملخصThe Altman Z-Score is a linear discriminant model developed by Edward I. Altman in 1968 to predict corporate bankruptcy using five accounting-based financial ratios. Derived through multiple discriminant analysis on a matched sample of 66 US manufacturing firms, the model combines liquidity, profitability, leverage, solvency, and activity ratios into a single composite score that classifies firms as financially sound, distressed, or in a grey zone.Logistic regression is a statistical method for modeling the probability of a binary outcome (disease present/absent, success/failure) as a function of continuous and categorical predictors. Developed by David Roxbee Cox (1958), it solves the problem of predicting categorical outcomes by applying a logistic transformation to constrain predictions to the [0,1] probability interval, enabling accurate risk stratification, diagnostic prediction, and causal inference in epidemiology, medicine, and social science.XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boosting) is a scalable tree-boosting algorithm introduced by Tianqi Chen and Carlos Guestrin in 2016. It builds a strong predictor by adding decision trees one at a time, each correcting the errors left by the trees before it, and is a powerful prediction method widely used in competitions.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Altman Z-Score · Logistic Regression · XGBoost. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-20 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare