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贝叶斯元胞自动机 — 通过贝叶斯推断对转移规则进行概率校准

贝叶斯元胞自动机(Bayesian Cellular Automata, BCA)将经典元胞自动机的局部规则空间动力学与贝叶斯推断相结合,以从观测数据中学习或校准转移概率。分析师不手动固定规则,而是对细胞状态如何变化进行先验知识编码,并用经验证据更新这些信念,从而产生驱动原则性不确定性感知模拟的规则参数后验分布。

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来源

  1. Hosseinali, F., Alesheikh, A. A., Nourian, F. (2013). Agent-based modeling of urban land-use development, case study: Simulating future scenarios of Qazvin city. Cities, 31, 105-113. DOI: 10.1016/j.cities.2012.09.002
  2. Cellular automaton. Wikipedia. link

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Bayesian Cellular Automata — Probabilistic calibration of transition rules via Bayesian inference. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/simulation/bayesian-cellular-automata

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ScholarGateBayesian Cellular Automata (Bayesian Cellular Automata — Probabilistic calibration of transition rules via Bayesian inference). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/simulation/bayesian-cellular-automata · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026