Process / pipelineGeospatial analysis
风险地形建模
风险地形建模（RTM）是一种地理空间犯罪预测方法，通过分析吸引或促成犯罪的环境和地理特征来识别高风险地点。RTM由Joel Caplan、Lichen Kennedy和James Miller于2011年开发，它将环境犯罪学理论与地理信息系统（GIS）相结合，创建预测性风险地图。与预测犯罪人位置的方法（例如地理画像）不同，RTM基于地形特征、基础设施和社会环境因素来预测犯罪可能发生的地点。
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来源
- Caplan, J. M., Kennedy, L. W., & Miller, J. (2011). Risk terrain modeling: Brokering criminological theory and GIS methods for crime forecasting. Journal of Research and Practice in Criminal Justice, 17(1), 56-69. link ↗
- Kennedy, L. W. (2008). Crime and Environment. Routledge. link ↗
- Brantingham, P. J., & Brantingham, P. L. (1991). Environmental criminology. Sage Publications. link ↗
如何引用本页
ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Risk Terrain Modeling for Crime Prediction and Prevention. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/forensics/risk-terrain-modeling
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