方法证据记录
Exponential Smoothing
Exponential smoothing is a family of basic time-series forecasting models in which each new observation updates a smoothed estimate by a weighting parameter. Simple exponential smoothing (SES), introduced by Robert G. Brown in 1959, forecasts series with a stable level, while Holt's double exponential smoothing, introduced by Charles C. Holt in 1957, adds a trend term using the parameters alpha and beta.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Simple and Double Exponential Smoothing (SES / Holt)
分类方法记录 · regression-model / econometrics
- Brown, R. G. (1959). Statistical Forecasting for Inventory Control. McGraw-Hill. · URL
- Holt, C. C. (1957). Forecasting Trends and Seasonals by Exponentially Weighted Averages. Office of Naval Research Memorandum 52, Carnegie Institute of Technology. · URL
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