方法证据记录
Robust Scenario Analysis
Robust Scenario Analysis evaluates a set of candidate strategies across a structured collection of plausible future scenarios and selects the strategy that performs acceptably well — or best in the worst case — regardless of which scenario materializes. It merges scenario planning with robustness criteria such as maximin, minimax regret, or satisficing to support decisions under deep, irreducible uncertainty.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Robust Scenario Analysis — Worst-case and minimax regret scenario evaluation under deep uncertainty
分类方法记录 · process-pipeline / simulation
- Wald, A. (1950). Statistical Decision Functions. Wiley, New York. · URL
- Lempert, R. J., Popper, S. W., Bankes, S. C. (2003). Shaping the Next One Hundred Years: New Methods for Quantitative, Long-Term Policy Analysis. RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA. · ISBN 9780833032751
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