方法证据记录
Interrupted Time Series in Crime Analysis
Interrupted time series (ITS) analysis evaluates whether a law, policy, or intervention changed the course of a crime series. By modeling the level and slope of crime before and after a dated 'interruption' — a gun-control law, a policing crackdown, a sentencing reform — it tests whether the series jumped or bent at that moment relative to its prior trend. Box and Tiao formalized intervention analysis in 1975, and McDowall, McCleary, and colleagues brought the method to criminology in their widely used 1980 monograph.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Interrupted Time Series Analysis of Crime Policy Interventions
分类方法记录 · process-pipeline / criminology
- McDowall, D., McCleary, R., Meidinger, E. E., & Hay, R. A. (1980). Interrupted Time Series Analysis. Sage Publications. · ISBN 9780803914933
- Box, G. E. P., & Tiao, G. C. (1975). Intervention analysis with applications to economic and environmental problems. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 70(349), 70–79. · DOI 10.1080/01621459.1975.10480264
精选声明
声明已持久化到证据分类账中，每个声明都有自己的评估。
尚无精选声明
当分类账中没有声明时，此视图不会自行创建声明评估。
相关方法
从方法图中生成，显示为机器建议的关系 — 不推断任何证据声明。