方法证据记录
Bayesian Microsimulation
Bayesian Microsimulation combines individual-level simulation of heterogeneous populations with Bayesian statistical inference. Each synthetic individual follows a probabilistic life path, while model parameters are governed by prior beliefs updated with observed data. This approach is widely used in health technology assessment, public policy costing, and demographic projection, where uncertainty in both model inputs and structural assumptions must be formally quantified and propagated through to output estimates.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Bayesian Microsimulation — Probabilistic individual-level simulation with Bayesian parameter estimation
分类方法记录 · process-pipeline / simulation
- Williamson, P., Birkin, M., & Rees, P. H. (2000). The estimation of population microdata by using data from small area statistics and samples of anonymised records. Environment and Planning A, 30(5), 785-816. · DOI 10.1068/a300785
- Spiegelhalter, D. J., Abrams, K. R., & Myles, J. P. (2004). Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation. John Wiley & Sons. · ISBN 9780471499756
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