方法对比

	TiRex：基于 xLSTM 的零样本时间序列预测模型	Chronos：一种用于时间序列预测的标记化基础模型	TimesFM：面向时间序列预测的仅解码器基础模型
领域	深度学习	深度学习	深度学习
方法族	Machine learning	Machine learning	Machine learning
起源年份	2025	2024	2024
提出者	NX-AI (xLSTM team)	Abdul Fatir Ansari et al. (Amazon)	Abhimanyu Das et al. (Google)
类型	Pretrained zero-shot time-series forecasting model	Pre-trained language-model-based time-series forecaster	Pre-trained decoder-only transformer for zero-shot time-series forecasting
开创性文献	Auer, A., Podest, P., Klotz, D., Böck, S., Klambauer, G., & Hochreiter, S. (2025). TiRex: Zero-shot forecasting across long and short horizons with enhanced in-context learning. arXiv preprint.	Ansari, A. F., Stella, L., Turkmen, C., Zhang, X., Mercado, P., Shen, H., et al. (2024). Chronos: Learning the language of time series. Transactions on Machine Learning Research.	Das, A., Kong, W., Sen, R., & Zhou, Y. (2024). A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting. ICML.
别名	Time-series xLSTM Forecaster, TiRex Zero-Shot, xLSTM Time-Series Model, Zaman Serisi Sıfır-Atım Tahmincisi	Chronos Forecasting Model, Amazon Chronos, Tokenized Time-Series LLM, Kronos Zaman Serisi Modeli	Time-series Foundation Model, Google TimesFM, TimesFM forecaster, Zaman Serisi Temel Modeli
相关	3	2	3
摘要	TiRex is a pretrained zero-shot time-series forecasting model introduced in 2025 by the NX-AI xLSTM team (Auer et al.). Built on the Extended Long Short-Term Memory (xLSTM) architecture, TiRex is trained at scale on diverse time-series corpora and can forecast unseen datasets without any fine-tuning. Its core idea is to exploit enhanced in-context learning: the model reads the entire available history as a context and produces forecasts for both short and long horizons directly from that context.	Chronos is a family of pre-trained probabilistic forecasting models introduced by Ansari et al. at Amazon in 2024. It adapts the language-model paradigm to time series by quantizing continuous values into discrete tokens, enabling a standard transformer to be trained on a large heterogeneous corpus of time-series data. The result is a zero-shot forecasting model that generalizes across domains without requiring dataset-specific retraining.	TimesFM is a pre-trained foundation model for univariate time-series forecasting introduced by Abhimanyu Das, Weihao Kong, Rajat Sen, and Yichen Zhou from Google in 2024. The model adopts a decoder-only transformer architecture, similar in spirit to large language models, and is trained on a large corpus of real-world and synthetic time-series data. Its central innovation is the ability to perform accurate zero-shot forecasting across diverse domains without task-specific fine-tuning.