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时间序列变分推断×顺序蒙特卡洛×
领域贝叶斯贝叶斯
方法族Bayesian methodsBayesian methods
起源年份1999–20171993 (particle filter); 2006 (SMC samplers)
提出者Jordan, Ghahramani, Jaakkola, Saul; extended by Blei and colleaguesGordon, Salmond & Smith (particle filter); Del Moral, Doucet & Jasra (SMC samplers)
类型Approximate Bayesian inferenceSequential Bayesian computation
开创性文献Blei, D. M., Kucukelbir, A. & McAuliffe, J. D. (2017). Variational inference: A review for statisticians. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 112(518), 859-877. DOI ↗Gordon, N. J., Salmond, D. J., & Smith, A. F. M. (1993). Novel approach to nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian state estimation. IEE Proceedings F - Radar and Signal Processing, 140(2), 107–113. DOI ↗
别名time-series VI, variational Bayes for time series, TSVI, sequential variational inferenceSMC, particle filter, sequential importance resampling, SMC sampler
相关66
摘要Time series variational inference applies variational Bayes to sequential data, approximating the intractable posterior over latent states and parameters with a tractable family of distributions. By maximising the evidence lower bound (ELBO), it delivers fast, scalable Bayesian inference for state-space models, dynamic latent variable models, and other time-ordered probabilistic systems.Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is a family of simulation-based algorithms that approximate evolving probability distributions by propagating and reweighting a cloud of weighted random draws called particles. It handles nonlinear, non-Gaussian models and streams of data naturally, making it the method of choice for real-time state estimation and posterior approximation over complex distributions.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Time series variational inference · Sequential Monte Carlo. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare