方法对比

	TGARCH 模型（阈值 GARCH）	动态条件相关 (DCC-GARCH) 模型
领域	计量经济学	计量经济学
方法族	Regression model	Regression model
起源年份	1993-1994	2002
提出者	Zakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)	Robert F. Engle
类型	Asymmetric volatility model	Multivariate volatility model
开创性文献	Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955.	Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350.
别名	Threshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH	DCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC
相关	6	5
摘要	The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.	The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.