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电话辅助德尔菲技术×德尔菲技术×
领域调查方法论调查方法论
方法族Process / pipelineProcess / pipeline
起源年份1963 (Delphi); telephone-assisted variant prominent 1970s–1990s1950s–1963
提出者Norman Dalkey & Olaf Helmer (RAND Corporation); telephone adaptation used throughout 1970s–1990s applied researchNorman Dalkey and Olaf Helmer (RAND Corporation)
类型Iterative expert consensus technique delivered by telephoneIterative expert consensus technique
开创性文献Dalkey, N., & Helmer, O. (1963). An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts. Management Science, 9(3), 458–467. DOI ↗Dalkey, N., & Helmer, O. (1963). An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts. Management Science, 9(3), 458–467. DOI ↗
别名telephone Delphi, phone-based Delphi, CATI Delphi, telephone consensus methodDelphi method, Delphi survey, expert consensus method, iterative expert panel
相关46
摘要The telephone-assisted Delphi Technique applies the classic iterative expert-consensus framework through structured telephone interviews rather than mailed or online questionnaires. Experts participate in sequential rounds of data collection by phone, enabling the researcher to clarify ambiguous responses in real time and reach consensus on complex, contested, or forward-looking questions without requiring participants to convene in person.The Delphi technique is a structured, multi-round data collection method that harvests and refines expert opinion through iterative questionnaires and controlled feedback. Developed at RAND Corporation in the 1950s, it is designed to converge a dispersed expert panel toward a reliable consensus on complex, uncertain, or future-oriented questions — without the conformity pressures of face-to-face group discussion.
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ScholarGate方法对比: Telephone-assisted Delphi Technique · Delphi Technique. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare