方法对比
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| TAR / SETAR：用于机制转换时间序列的门限自回归模型× | 阈值回归× | |
|---|---|---|
| 领域 | 计量经济学 | 计量经济学 |
| 方法族 | Regression model | Regression model |
| 起源年份≠ | 1990 | 2000 |
| 提出者≠ | Howell Tong | Bruce E. Hansen |
| 类型≠ | Nonlinear time-series model with regime switching | Nonlinear regime-switching regression |
| 开创性文献≠ | Tong, H. (1990). Non-linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 978-0-19-852300-6 | Hansen, B. E. (2000). Sample Splitting and Threshold Estimation. Econometrica, 68(3), 575-603. DOI ↗ |
| 别名 | Threshold Autoregression, Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregression, SETAR Model, Eşik Otoregresyon | threshold model, regime-switching regression, sample splitting model, Eşik Değer Regresyonu (Threshold Regression) |
| 相关≠ | 2 | 5 |
| 摘要≠ | TAR and SETAR are nonlinear autoregressive models introduced by Howell Tong (1990) that allow a time series to follow different linear dynamics in distinct regimes, separated by one or more threshold values. SETAR is the self-exciting variant, in which the threshold variable is a lagged value of the series itself, making it particularly suited to cycles, asymmetric adjustment, and limit-cycle behavior observed in economic and financial data. | Threshold regression is a nonlinear, regime-switching model in which the regression parameters take different values above and below an estimated threshold value of a threshold variable. The sample-splitting and threshold-estimation framework was developed by Bruce E. Hansen (2000) and is widely used for time-series and panel data with structural breaks and regime-dependent relationships. |
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