方法对比

	结构向量自回归 (SVAR)	脉冲响应函数 (IRF)	向量自回归 (VAR) 模型
领域	计量经济学	计量经济学	计量经济学
方法族	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
起源年份	1980	2005	2005
提出者	Christopher Sims	Helmut Lütkepohl	Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
类型	Structural multivariate time-series model	Post-estimation diagnostic	Multivariate time-series model
开创性文献	Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48.	Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. ISBN: 978-3-540-40172-8	Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer.
别名	Structural VAR, Identified VAR, SVAR Model, Yapısal Vektör Otoregresyon	IRF, Dynamic Multiplier, Shock Response Function, Etki Tepki Fonksiyonu	vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
相关	2	3	4
摘要	Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) is a multivariate time-series model, developed by Christopher Sims (1980), that extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economically motivated identifying restrictions on contemporaneous relationships among variables. SVAR enables researchers to isolate orthogonal structural shocks and trace their causal dynamic effects through impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions, making it a cornerstone of modern empirical macroeconomics.	The Impulse Response Function (IRF) traces the dynamic response of each variable in a Vector Autoregression (VAR) system to a one-unit shock in one of its error terms over a user-specified forecast horizon. It is the primary tool for structural analysis following VAR estimation and is widely used in macroeconomics, monetary economics, and finance to quantify how shocks propagate through interconnected time series systems.	Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).