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结构性断裂向量自回归模型×结构断裂ARDL边界检验×
领域计量经济学计量经济学
方法族Regression modelRegression model
起源年份1980–2000s2001–2010s
提出者Sims (1980) for SVAR; structural break extensions developed throughout 1990s–2000sPesaran, Shin & Smith (bounds framework); structural break extensions by Bahmani-Oskooee, Enders & Jones, and others
类型Multivariate time-series model with regime changeCointegration / bounds test
开创性文献Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗
别名break-SVAR, SVAR with regime change, structural break structural VAR, SB-SVARSB-ARDL bounds test, ARDL bounds test with structural break, Fourier ARDL bounds test, break-augmented bounds testing
相关66
摘要The structural break SVAR model extends the standard Structural Vector Autoregression by allowing one or more discrete shifts in the system's parameters across time. It simultaneously identifies causal (structural) shocks and accounts for regime changes — such as policy shifts, crises, or institutional reforms — that alter the dynamics among multiple time series.The structural break ARDL bounds test extends the Pesaran, Shin and Smith (2001) bounds testing framework to accommodate one or more structural breaks in the long-run relationship between time-series variables. By incorporating break dummies or smooth Fourier terms into the ARDL error-correction equation, it allows researchers to test for cointegration even when the data have experienced shifts in intercept or slope caused by policy changes, crises, or regime switches.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGate方法对比: Structural break SVAR model · Structural Break ARDL Bounds Test. 于 2026-06-18 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/compare