方法对比

	Stochastic Sensitivity Analysis	随机情景分析
领域	仿真	仿真
方法族	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
起源年份	1990s–2000s	1955–1980s
提出者	Saltelli, A. et al.; Claxton, K. et al. (health economics stream)	Dantzig, G. B.; Birge, J. R.; and others in stochastic programming tradition
类型	Probabilistic uncertainty quantification technique	Probabilistic scenario enumeration and evaluation
开创性文献	Saltelli, A., Ratto, M., Andres, T., Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., Gatelli, D., Saisana, M., Tarantola, S. (2008). Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer. Wiley. ISBN: 9780470059975	Birge, J. R., Louveaux, F. (2011). Introduction to Stochastic Programming (2nd ed.). Springer. ISBN: 9781461402374
别名	PSA, Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis, Stochastic SA, Monte Carlo Sensitivity Analysis	Probabilistic Scenario Analysis, SSA, Stochastic What-If Analysis, Monte Carlo Scenario Analysis
相关	5	4
摘要	Stochastic Sensitivity Analysis (PSA) extends classical one-at-a-time sensitivity testing by representing uncertain model inputs as probability distributions and propagating them through the model via Monte Carlo sampling. The result is a full distribution of possible outputs, together with rankings of which inputs drive output variance the most — enabling robust, evidence-grounded conclusions under uncertainty.	Stochastic Scenario Analysis evaluates a system or decision across multiple explicitly defined scenarios, each assigned a probability of occurrence. Unlike deterministic scenario analysis, it propagates uncertainty through probability distributions and computes expected outcomes, variance, and risk metrics across the scenario space, giving decision-makers a structured view of what could happen and how likely each outcome is.