方法对比

	Spatial Conflict Analysis	空间回归（空间滞后和空间误差模型）
领域	International Relations	计量经济学
方法族	Regression model	Regression model
起源年份	2002	1988
提出者	Spatial-analysis-of-conflict literature (e.g., Michael Ward & Kristian Skrede Gleditsch)	Luc Anselin
类型	Spatial regression / spatial-statistical modeling of conflict	Spatial regression (cross-sectional)
开创性文献	Ward, M. D., & Gleditsch, K. S. (2002). Location, location, location: An MCMC approach to modeling the spatial context of war and peace. Political Analysis, 10(3), 244–260.	Anselin, L. (1988). Spatial Econometrics: Methods and Models. Kluwer Academic Publishers.
别名	Spatial Analysis of War and Peace, Geographic Conflict Modeling, Spatial Econometrics of Conflict, Georeferenced Conflict Analysis	spatial econometrics, spatial lag model, spatial error model, SAR / SEM
相关	3	5
摘要	Spatial conflict analysis models armed conflict while taking geography seriously: conflict is not randomly scattered but clusters in space, and a place's risk depends on its neighbors. Building on georeferenced data and spatial-statistical methods — as in Ward and Gleditsch's (2002) MCMC approach to the spatial context of war and peace — it uses spatial weights, tests for spatial autocorrelation, and fits spatial regression models so that conflict, peace, and their predictors are analyzed as interdependent across locations rather than as isolated observations.	Spatial regression is a family of regression models that build geographic neighbourhood relationships directly into the model, introduced by Luc Anselin in his 1988 treatment of spatial econometrics. It splits into a spatial lag model, where spatial dependence sits in the dependent variable, and a spatial error model, where the dependence sits in the error term.